It’s Not Easy Being Greener

Bill Greener is the flesh.

Bill Greener keeps hope alive. Well at least he is attempting to do that for John McCain’s campagin. But one of his articles for Salon.com is being picked on.

One of the articles is proclaiming that there is indeed a Bradley Effect and it will swing in favor of McCain. Nate Silver, a critic of the infamous Bradley-Wilder effect, is not buying it.

The two races where the black candidate did perform notably worse than their polling were in Ohio (Ken Blackwell) and Maryland (Michael Steele). Each of these candidates were Republicans. This leads us to…

What that led Silver to was that despite Blackwell and Steele performing worse than the polls did was that both were Republicans in 2006. Black Republicans and white Republicans did worse than polls showed them to be doing. Read the rest of his post for more on his critique on that article.

Regarding the same article by Greener, Daniel Larison writing for The American Conservative goes up against a quote by Greener:

As of this writing, Barack Obama is not polling consistently above 50 percent in a number of electoral-vote-rich swing states, including Ohio and Florida. He should be worried.

Larison does a similar counterpoint like Silver did only less list-like. To read his article click here.